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While Trudeau played down any rift with Trump, the timing of this tariff threat couldn’t be worse for Canada. The country’s economy, heavily reliant on U.S. trade, is grappling with high inflation, surging immigration numbers, and growing political unrest. The Liberal Party, led by Trudeau, suffered significant losses in recent elections, sparking internal debates over his future leadership.
Trump’s focus on fentanyl and illegal immigration as justification for the tariffs has divided Canadian politicians and business leaders. While Canada intercepted 23,000 illegal border crossings last year—far fewer than the 1.5 million along the U.S.-Mexico border—Trump’s message is clear: no neighbor is exempt from scrutiny. Meanwhile, the U.S. Drug Enforcement Agency attributes most fentanyl trafficking to Mexico, China, and India, not Canada.
Danielle Smith, Alberta’s Conservative Premier and a frequent critic of Trudeau, urged collaboration to prevent economic fallout. “We are calling on the federal government to work with the incoming administration to resolve these issues immediately, thereby avoiding any unnecessary tariffs on Canadian exports to the US,” Smith posted on social media. She also highlighted Alberta’s secure energy exports, dismissing any link to illegal activities at the border.
Canadian business leaders, however, signaled the need for a more assertive approach to Trump’s demands. Candace Laing, chair of Canada’s chamber of commerce, emphasized the stakes. “To [Trump], it’s about winners and losers – with Canada on the losing end,” Laing said in a statement. She added that Canada must shift its traditionally polite diplomacy to a more resilient strategy. “It’s time to trade ‘sorry’ for ‘sorry, not sorry,’” she quipped.
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The U.S. is Canada’s largest trading partner, and any disruption in trade could have profound consequences for the Canadian economy. As Trudeau navigates this crisis, the pressure is mounting for him to not only manage Trump’s demands but also reassure his domestic base, which is increasingly skeptical of his leadership.
The emergency talks signal a pivotal moment for Trudeau, whose political future and Canada’s economic stability may hinge on how he handles Trump’s aggressive trade policies.