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Trump’s campaign has been laser-focused on energizing his voter base, especially as early voting becomes increasingly prevalent across the country. According to CBS News, nearly all Americans now have some form of access to early voting, a significant shift from the past, where only 40% of voters had similar opportunities. In light of this, Trump sees little point in using precious time for another televised debate when voters have largely made up their minds.
With this decision, voters will be left with only three key debate moments to inform their choices. The first was Trump’s fiery September 27th debate with President Joe Biden. The second was his intense September 10th exchange with Vice President Kamala Harris. The third, and likely final debate, took place between Ohio Senator J.D. Vance (R) and Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, both of whom sparred over the vice-presidential slot in a contentious showdown.
Biden’s withdrawal from the race, which followed a shaky debate performance and a near-fatal assassination attempt in July, left the Democrats scrambling. Vice President Harris was thrust into the limelight as the party’s de facto candidate, effectively taking over Biden’s campaign. However, Harris’s path to the presidency has not been without hurdles. Post-debate surveys indicate that her verbal sparring with Trump did little to shift voter sentiment. Many undecided voters who participated in snap polls after the debate said they felt they gained no new insights into her policies and were instead left reacting to her aggressive attacks on Trump.
While Harris held her own during her debate with Trump, she faces an uphill battle in convincing the electorate that she is presidential material. Critics have seized on her performances, claiming that she has struggled to offer clear positions on key issues. This uncertainty was exacerbated during last week’s vice-presidential debate, where her running mate, Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, made a series of missteps, including an embarrassing gaffe in which he claimed to be “friends with school shooters.” The statement sent shockwaves across social media and only served to fuel concerns about his readiness for the national stage.
With Trump’s decision to skip the final debate, Harris now faces an even steeper climb. Democrats are trying to rally around her, but polls show that her numbers continue to decline, and the race has tightened considerably. According to insiders, Trump’s campaign is feeling more optimistic than ever about its chances of winning. As journalist Mark Halperin noted earlier this week, “Democrats are running an unprecedented, high-stakes experiment to see whether a presidential campaign can be launched and won within two months.” This gamble could prove costly, especially as Harris continues to grapple with sagging poll numbers.
The Democratic Party has thrown its full weight behind Harris, with high-profile endorsements from figures like former President Barack Obama and ex-House Speaker Nancy Pelosi. However, with just weeks to go until Election Day, it remains to be seen whether Harris can sway enough voters to secure victory. Her debate performances, while fierce, have done little to change the minds of undecided voters, many of whom feel the race has become more about personalities than policies.
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In contrast, Trump’s base remains energized, and his decision to skip the final debate could be a sign of confidence. With voting already underway and his campaign laser-focused on turnout, Trump appears to be banking on the strength of his past performances to carry him over the finish line. Whether or not this strategy will pay off will be revealed on November 5th, when the nation’s voters cast their final ballots.
Trump’s decision to forgo the Fox News debate is a calculated risk, but one that could potentially solidify his chances for a comeback in the 2024 presidential election. As Harris fights to gain traction in a shortened campaign season, Trump’s laser-focused strategy might just be the key to victory.
