In their most recent poll, Emerson College revealed the unsettling fact that while Biden is still well-liked by people, a potential Republican candidate for 2024 is already drawing attention. The presidential election contest just got more fascinating!
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President Biden’s job approval rating remained constant in February at 44%, according to the most recent Emerson College Polling study, but his disapproval rating increased slightly from 48% to 50%. Nonetheless, with 77%–78% of Democratic voters favoring him as their presidential contender for 2024, three-fourths of them seem to be unwavering in their support. Moreover, Democrats who support a rerun have made notable gains since January, increasing by 13 points, from 58% to 71%. Less than 30%, on the other hand, would prefer that a different candidate assume the party’s banner in 24.
“Biden’s support is highest among Democratic voters under 35: 85% of whom think he should be the nominee. This sentiment decreases to 72% of those between 35 and 49, 61% of those between 50 and 64, and increases to 67% of those over 65,” said Spencer Kimball, Executive Director of Emerson College Polling.
Despite considerable opposition from Florida Governor Ron DeSantis in the GOP Primary for 2024, President Trump still holds a commanding advantage. His popularity, however, appears to be waning as Mike Pence and Nikki Haley have each seen a two-point increase in support since the latest poll, which was conducted last month. With 55%, 29%, and 8%, respectively, it appears that there is still a lot up for grabs when it comes to delegates at the Convention the following year!
Emerson College polling noted:
Kimball noted, “Trump’s base consists of voters whose highest degree of education is high school or less, among whom 72% support, decreasing to 45% among those with a college degree, and 42% of those with a postgraduate degree, among which he trails DeSantis by two points.”
Kimball continued, “The Florida Governor’s strength is not only seen among this higher educated GOP block, but also among voters over 65, where he leads Trump 43% to 39%. He has gained 13 points among Midwestern voters, now only trailing Trump by eight points, compared to 32 points in January, presenting a potential issue for Trump as the Republicans look to Iowa as first in the nation.”
On a ballot of exclusively individuals who have announced their candidacy, 79% of respondents would support Donald Trump, 18% Nikki Haley, and 4% Vivek Ramaswamy.
“Of those who support DeSantis on the preliminary ballot, 62% support Trump on the declared ballot and 29% support Haley,” Kimball noted.
Despite increased support within the Democratic Party, President Biden trails former President Trump in a hypothetical 2024 Presidential match-up, 42% to 46%; 7% would support someone else and 5% are undecided. This is similar to last month, when he trailed 41% to 44%. Against Governor DeSantis, Biden leads 44% to 40%; 9% would support someone else and 8% are undecided. Similarly, against Nikki Haley, the President leads 40% to 37%; while 12% would support someone else and 11% are undecided.
With barely 2% separating the Republican and Democratic candidates in the current polling, the 2024 congressional election appears to be a close contest. However, there seems to be widespread dissatisfaction with the Biden administration’s response to recent national security issues, such as the Chinese spy balloon incident and enigmatic UFO sightings: 44% of voters believe they have not taken enough action, while 35% think it has been appropriate; 12%, however, remain unsure or unopinionated on this matter.
Kimball said, “There is a stark partisan divide on the view of US aid to Ukraine: 50% of Democrats say the US is giving the right amount of aid, whereas 46% of Republicans say the US is giving too much aid.”
“35%, think the United States has done the right amount to aid Ukraine, while 31% think the US has given too much aid, and 21% think it has given too little aid.”
