President Donald Trump has brought renewed attention to a controversial election analysis that claims an unusually consistent mathematical pattern appeared across dozens of Senate and gubernatorial contests during the 2026 midterm elections.
The findings, which have circulated widely on social media, have sparked questions about how Republican and Democratic candidates performed compared with the presidential results from just two years earlier.
At the center of the controversy is what its proponents call the “85/15 Algorithm,” a statistical theory originally published by the Truth Is Freedom account on X. According to the analysis, Republican candidates retained approximately 85 percent of the support Trump received in their respective states during the 2024 presidential election, while Democrats appeared to benefit from the remaining 15 percent.
Trump himself helped bring the findings into the spotlight after sharing a post from the Truth Is Freedom account on Truth Social.
