In a shocking turn of events, former President Donald Trump has surged ahead in the 2024 Republican primary race, holding a commanding 54% to 26% lead over his nearest challenger, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. Given a huge 28-point gap between the two, this uptick may have been caused by a “rally around” reaction to potential Trump indictments. In this political thriller, tensions are rising, and everyone is waiting to see what happens next.
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Recent surveys show that, in an unexpected turn of events, 54% of likely GOP primary voters would support Trump if the race were held today. DeSantis, on the other hand, only receives 26% of the vote. It’s interesting to note that 46% of Trump’s supporters consider DeSantis to be a strong alternative, while 43% of DeSantis’ supporters support Trump as a backup plan. However, a sizable 17% of Trump supporters are still unsure about their second option, compared to only 5% of DeSantis supporters.
“Former President Donald Trump began his presidential campaign with the bulk of the Republican electorate behind him, but his grip is being put to the test ahead of the 2024 nominating contests. Morning Consult surveys are tracking the Republican primary electorate’s views of Trump and other declared or potential candidates, as well as how he fares with the wider electorate — a key metric for a party looking to turn the tide on recent electoral disappointments.”
Examining a potential political contest, current data shows Biden leading Trump by three points and DeSantis by two points. However, compared to prior polls conducted as far back as December, DeSantis’ lead over Biden seems to have shrunk since the month’s beginning. These statistics are vital for determining electability, a crucial factor in party primaries, and have stoked discussions about Trump’s contentious legacy and GOP expansion plans.
