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While the Harris-Walz campaign is confident they have a path to victory even if they lose Pennsylvania, Michigan is considered particularly crucial. The state has consistently voted more left-leaning than its rust-belt neighbors, making it a vital target for Democrats to hold onto.
Harris’s position in Michigan is particularly precarious due to various factors, including President Biden’s diminishing popularity in the state. The Biden-Harris administration has faced backlash from Michigan’s sizable Muslim American population, especially following the ongoing conflict in Gaza. Many voters in this demographic have expressed dissatisfaction with how the administration has handled the situation, and this dissatisfaction has translated into electoral challenges for Harris.
Earlier this year, Biden encountered a significant protest vote in Michigan when a movement emerged encouraging Democratic voters to mark their ballots as “uncommitted” in the primaries as a message of discontent. The results were striking: over 10% of Michigan Democrats voted against Biden, with the movement far surpassing its goal of garnering 10,000 uncommitted votes.
This dissatisfaction seems to have spilled over into Harris’s campaign as well, making her chances of securing the state more tenuous.
Former President Donald Trump has wasted no time in seizing on the turmoil within the Michigan Democratic Party. Trump has positioned himself as a peace candidate who can resolve the conflict in Gaza, a message that appears to be resonating with disillusioned voters in the state.
One of the most significant recent developments came when Ameer Ghalib, the Democratic mayor of Hamtramck, Michigan, endorsed Trump. Ghalib, who hails from one of the largest Muslim communities in Wayne County, Michigan, played a key role in the “uncommitted” campaign against Biden earlier this year. Hamtramck’s Muslim population is significant, with census data indicating that over 60% of the city’s residents identify as Muslim.
Ghalib, the son of Yemeni immigrants, told Breitbart News that the “uncommitted” campaign quickly evolved into a broader movement to “abandon Biden,” and now, “Abandon Harris.” Trump has leveraged Ghalib’s endorsement to further strengthen his appeal to Michigan voters, particularly within the Muslim community, which is proving to be a crucial demographic in the state.
The latest polling numbers paint a troubling picture for the Harris-Walz campaign in Michigan. According to a recent New York Times/Sienna College poll, Harris holds only a slim one-point lead over her Republican rival. This razor-thin margin highlights the growing concerns within the Democratic Party about Harris’s ability to secure Michigan’s electoral votes.
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In contrast, Elisa Slotkin appears to be faring better in her Senate race against Republican Mike Rogers. Slotkin consistently polls four to five points higher than Harris, though her lead has also begun to shrink as Election Day approaches. Despite her advantage over Harris, Slotkin’s admission in the leaked video underscores the growing anxiety within the Democratic Party over their chances in Michigan.
With Michigan widely regarded as a must-win state for both parties, the leaked video has sent shockwaves through the political landscape. Harris’s faltering support, combined with the growing momentum for Trump, has raised serious questions about the Democratic Party’s strategy in the Midwest.
For now, Michigan remains a battleground, and both parties are likely to double down on their efforts to secure the state. With Trump’s recent endorsement from Ghalib and Harris’s struggles to gain traction, it’s clear that the race in Michigan is far from over.
As Election Day draws near, the battle for Michigan will only intensify, and the outcome in this pivotal swing state could very well decide the future of the 2024 election.