As the 2024 presidential race intensifies, Donald Trump’s campaign seems to be surging ahead, according to the most accurate pollster from the 2020 election, AtlasIntel. Their latest data reveals a promising outlook for Trump, as he gains momentum in crucial swing states, despite Vice President Kamala Harris’ early advantage after President Biden’s exit from the race and endorsement of her candidacy.
Following what some analysts describe as Harris’ initial “honeymoon” phase, where she led Trump in several key states, the latest AtlasIntel numbers show a reversal in the former president’s favor. Trump now leads Harris in six of the seven battleground states essential to victory, setting him up for a potentially commanding win in the Electoral College.
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The AtlasIntel survey shows Trump pulling ahead in Arizona, North Carolina, and Nevada, three critical states that he narrowly lost in 2020. According to the data, Trump currently leads Harris by 4.2 points in Arizona, 3.7 points in North Carolina, and 3.6 points in Nevada. These states, considered essential for either candidate’s path to victory, could be the difference-makers in 2024.
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