The U.S. economy received a welcome surprise on Thursday as the Bureau of Labor Statistics released the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November 2025, showing inflation far below what economists had predicted.
The report revealed that the all-items CPI climbed just 2.7 percent over the past year, significantly under the 3.1 percent forecast by Dow Jones survey respondents. The core CPI, which strips out volatile food and energy costs, increased 2.6 percent annually, again lower than the 3.0 percent experts had expected.
This marked a clear slowdown from previous months. The all-items CPI had registered a 3.0 percent increase over the year ending in September 2025. Meanwhile, the core inflation rate of 2.6 percent represented the smallest annual gain since March 2021. The headline 2.7 percent increase was the lowest since July 2025.
Shelter costs, which make up a major portion of overall inflation, rose just 3.0 percent year-over-year—the smallest increase since August 2021. Food prices grew 2.6 percent, while energy costs climbed 4.2 percent.
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