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“This is the map as it fills in. Remember the then when you look at the now because the difference is striking,” King continued. “This is how our CNN political unit, led by David Chalian, projects the race right now. Deep red signifies solid Republican, light red indicates lean Republican. If this map played out today and even if the tossups went blue, Donald Trump would win the election.”
King’s analysis went further, underscoring the current precarious position for Biden. “Donald Trump would win the election, but the map is even more favorable to Donald Trump. If you look through this new polling today, it’s a small lead. But Donald Trump is leading in Pennsylvania right now. Donald Trump is leading in Wisconsin right now. Donald Trump is leading in Arizona right now. And Donald Trump, most believe, right now has the lead in Nebraska two,” he added. This detail is significant, as Nebraska, like Maine, awards electoral votes by congressional district.
According to King, the polling data indicates Trump could potentially secure 303 electoral votes. Moreover, Biden’s approval ratings in critical battleground states are alarmingly low. “There’s new polling today that shows the president’s approval rating in these battleground states is below 40. The president’s ballot number right now is below 40 in most of those states. And it’s a 42 in Nevada. It’s very hard, in 16 weeks, we count the votes, 16 weeks from tonight, to turn that around,” King pointed out.
The conversation then turned to the Democrats’ growing concerns. King noted that the Biden campaign might need to allocate more time and resources to traditionally safe states that are now competitive. “Democrats are now worried, they think — I’m not saying this is going to happen — but what they’re saying is the president’s going to have to spend more time and more resources on places like Virginia because it’s competitive; in places like New Hampshire, because it’s competitive. You look at this map as it plays out and there are Democrats making the case, and we have Wisconsin blue here. Let’s move Wisconsin over here. There are Democrats making the case that Donald Trump is on a viable path, as of today, to get to 330 electoral votes, Wolf, or even higher because they see other states in here. The Trump campaign says Minnesota. The Trump campaign says maybe New Mexico. Let’s be cautious. Those are blue states traditionally.”
King highlighted several factors contributing to Biden’s declining numbers, including his age, public perception of his leadership, and concerns over the economy. “The president’s standing, his approval rating, his ballot number, people’s views about how old he is, and people who view the state of the economy are very bad for the president right now. And so even if you just go back to where we started, Donald Trump is in command. The numbers are getting worse for the president, Wolf. And Donald Trump has an opportunity with this convention to build it even more.”
Carry 46 rounds concealed? (comfortably)
In conclusion, CNN’s coverage underscores a growing sense of urgency within the Democratic Party as they face mounting challenges ahead of the next presidential election. With Trump gaining momentum in crucial states, the Biden administration is under significant pressure to reassess its strategy and address the factors contributing to its waning support. The coming months will be critical in determining whether Biden can turn the tide or if Trump will indeed secure a path to victory.
