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Public concern over crime is evident, with recent polls from Gallup and CBS/YouGov indicating that crime remains a significant worry for a majority of Americans, influencing their decisions at the ballot box. Despite Biden’s assurances, comparisons of crime rates from 2019 to 2023 suggest an increase in homicides and auto thefts, contradicting the narrative of a ‘record decrease in violent crime.’
The switch by the FBI to the National Incident-Based Reporting System (NIBRS) in 2021 has also led to a decrease in the number of participating agencies, dropping from 85.4 percent in 2020 to 62.7 percent in 2021. This change has exacerbated concerns about data reliability, especially as many Democrat-led cities have either delayed or failed to submit their crime data fully.
Furthermore, discrepancies between the FBI’s reported crime figures and those reported by cities themselves have raised alarms. For instance, Baltimore’s reported murders were higher than what the FBI documented, and similar underreporting has been observed in cities like Milwaukee and Nashville. This undercounting of offenses suggests a possible systemic issue in how crime data is being reported and recorded at the federal level.
Experts from CLOS, including former assistant FBI director Mark Morgan and executive director Sean Kennedy, have been vocal about their concerns. They argue that the FBI’s method of estimating crime figures based on similar jurisdictions and past trends is fraught with potential errors and does not accurately reflect local nuances. Their critique was detailed in a piece for the Washington Examiner, where they described the FBI’s data as “unreliable at best and deceptive at worst.”
The rise in crime, according to CLOS, is influenced by several factors including defunding the police, decreased incarceration, and lenient prosecution policies. These factors, combined with a general distrust in the criminal justice system, have contributed to an uptick in crime in major U.S. cities. A study by John Lott of the Crime Prevention Research Center further highlighted a drop in arrests for violent crimes, with a significant decline in the clearance rates for serious offenses like murder and rape.
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The debate over crime rates is more than just statistical discrepancies; it’s about the perception and reality of safety in America. As the election nears, the accuracy of crime data and the narratives surrounding it will play a critical role in shaping voter sentiment. The question remains whether the reported decrease in crime rates is a genuine reflection of reality or a crafted narrative for political gain. The ongoing scrutiny of the FBI’s crime data underscores the complexities and challenges in measuring and understanding crime trends, especially in a politically charged environment.
I don’t believe that crap for a NY Second, I’d bet you good money that those statistics have been manipulated to try and give Creepy Joe some more Votes. There is no way that crime statistics have gone down with the amount of additional people(Illegals) that we have in the Country. This is because they haven’t been prosecuting a lot of the crimes that have been reported, If no report is made or no prosecution takes place then there’s no documentation of it..I’m a Retired L.E.O. and I know how the system works…..This is complete and total B.S. or better yet….Smoke and Mirrors as it’s called