The 2020 census’s effects on the Electoral College map could favor former President Donald Trump in a prospective contest with President Joe Biden the following year.
In 2024, the Republican Party will be in a stronger position since blue states like California, New York, and Illinois lost Electoral College votes, while red states like Florida and Texas gained them.
According to Ballotpedia, 13 states either gained or lost electoral votes as a result of the census.
The number of House members and the two senators from each state are added to determine the Electoral College vote.
Texas, the country’s second-most populated state, now has four congressional districts.
One was added in each of Colorado, Florida, Montana, North Carolina, and Oregon.
Additionally, there was a reduction of one in each of the following states: California, Illinois, Michigan, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia.
Joe Biden won the 2020 presidential election with a convincing 306-232 Electoral College margin.
According to the website 270 to Win, Biden’s victory in 2020 would have been slightly narrower at 303-235 under the new electoral vote distribution.
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According to a recent poll by Bloomberg News/Morning Consult, three votes might decide the outcome of the 2024 election.
According to a recent poll, Trump is ahead of Biden in crucial election states. In a head-to-head presidential contest, the statistics indicate that Trump is ahead in Arizona (47 to 43 percent), Georgia (48 to 43 percent), Wisconsin (46 to 44 percent), and Pennsylvania (46 to 45 percent).
In North Carolina, where he is leading Biden by a margin of 47 to 43 percent, the 45th president in office is likewise in the lead. It’s important to remember that Trump won this state in the previous election by a slim margin of 1.3 percent.
The poll’s findings indicate a tie for first place in Michigan between the two candidates, who each have a 44 percent share of the vote.
According to a Reuters/Ipsos survey from September, Trump was also in the lead in Michigan and Nevada.
According to the updated distribution of electoral votes, Trump would become the 47th president in 2024 if he wins in Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin (where he now has a sizable lead according to the Bloomberg poll) and keeps all the states he won in 2020.
Trump nearly defeats Biden for the presidency with 272 electoral votes to 266 for Biden.
Both candidates would receive 269 electoral votes if the pre-census 2020 distribution remained the same and Trump was successful in winning those three states. In such a scenario, the House of Representatives would decide who would be declared the victor.
The results of the 2020 census could have a big impact on the 2024 presidential election.
