In seven crucial swing states for the 2024 election, Biden behind Trump in the polls, and immigration is starting to play a major role in how his chances of being reelected are affected.
According to a Bloomberg/Morning Consult survey, Biden is behind the Republican front-runner in November’s elections by 3 to 10 points in many crucial states: Arizona (47-43%), Georgia (49-41%), Michigan (47-42%), Nevada (48-40%), North Carolina (49-39%), Pennsylvania (48-45%), and Wisconsin (49-44%).
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According to Newsweek, Trump leads Biden by an average of 48–42% in every state, indicating that Biden’s prospects of winning the next election are likely to be limited.
After the data were carefully examined, over two-thirds (61 percent) of swing-state voters blamed Biden for the increase in people traveling across the border between the United States and Mexico. This figure is greater than the thirty percent that placed the responsibility on Republicans in Congress and the thirty percent that placed the blame on the Trump administration.
There has been a 5-point increase in the number of people in the swing states who think Trump will manage illegal immigration better than Biden, from 30% to 52% in the December survey.
With the exception of Michigan, the majority of respondents in every swing state—as per the poll—said they had witnessed an increase in immigration during the latter years of the Biden presidency. However, the poll also suggests that Trump’s multiple legal issues continue to cast a shadow over his most recent presidential candidacy.
More over half (53%) of voters in the seven crucial states said they would not support Trump if he was found guilty of a felony by November’s election, and 55% said they would not support him if he was sentenced to prison.
Trump has entered not-guilty pleas to 97 criminal counts stemming from four federal and state investigations. Before the November election, a jury might decide his fate in these four cases.
Trump has always denied any misconduct and called the investigations into him “witch hunts” with the intention of undermining his chances in the next election.
Alyssa Farah Griffin, a CNN analyst and former director of communications for President Trump’s White House, calls the statistics “eye-popping numbers” for Trump in battleground states.
“This should be a 5 alarm fire for the Biden campaign,” Griffin used to write on Twitter but now uses X.
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One year after the election, a prominent pollster examined the findings of a fresh study on Biden’s work performance and approval, pointing out that the information is far more negative for him than what has been published in the so-called “mainstream” media.
Revolver News broke down pollster Richard Baris’ analysis to present the findings of a recent study as follows:
Important demographics are mostly abandoning Joe Biden, not simply being angry with him. His unusually low polling figures indicate something more than the usual “presidential slump” that can be overcome by running a campaign. In the political sphere, what’s happening is a “CODE RED”—a complete collapse of a major figure. The situation is dire, whatever attempts by the media to minimize it.
“The Suffolk/USAToday Poll is showing what we’re all seeing, which is NOT a normal weak showing 1-year out for an incumbent president seeking re-election,” Noted, Baris commented on the X platform.
“Historically, he’s far below Barack Obama at this point (who won) and significantly lower than Donald Trump (who lost). H.W. Bush was higher, but his approval was falling RAPIDLY from far higher than Biden has ever been,” he added.
“It’s not just that these demographic groups are ‘abandoning’ Joe Biden. Donald Trump is gaining among key Democratic constituencies, Hispanic, Under 35. It’s the one poll NOT showing gains among Black voters. Clearly he is in the consensus,” Baris continued.
“I’d just also note that ‘enthusiasm’ and ‘voting likelihood’ are not the same thing. Higher turnout benefits Trump. People need to get used to understanding that now,” he wrote.
