Changes are shaking up the 2024 election landscape as Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., an independent candidate who once posed a significant challenge, has officially ended his presidential bid. This development could spell serious trouble for Vice President Kamala Harris, particularly in battleground states where the margins are razor-thin.
Nevada is one of those key battleground states where Kennedy’s exit from the race could have significant repercussions. Pre-dropout polls from early August, reported by FiveThirtyEight, indicated that Harris was leading former President Donald Trump by less than one percent. Kennedy, who was drawing in around 4% of voters at the time, had the potential to split the vote in a way that could tip the scales against Harris.
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The impact of Kennedy’s departure cannot be underestimated, especially considering that pollsters have historically underestimated Trump’s support in both the 2016 and 2020 elections. If this pattern holds, Harris may find herself in a precarious position in Nevada come November.
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