The forthcoming 2024 Republican primary and Joe Biden’s mental acuity are of great concern to the American public, according to the Harvard Harris Poll conducted in July 2023.
Debate continues to swirl about Biden’s mental competence for the presidency. Just 32% of participants in a recent Harvard Harris poll expressed confidence in his abilities, which raises questions about his mental clarity.
Joe Biden is the current front-runner in the Democratic race, but Kamala Harris would take the lead if he decided not to run. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is in second position with 16% of the vote if Biden decides to run. If Biden decides not to run, Kamala Harris takes the lead with 44% of the vote, more than double the support of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 22%.
According to the poll, the current controversy may have a big influence on how the 2024 Presidential Election turns out. Given that Biden now has a 40% popularity rating, the issue of his mental health may be extremely important in swaying people who are still undecided. The Democratic Party needs to take prompt action to solve these issues in order to increase Joe Biden’s chances of winning reelection.
The Republican primary in 2024 is not likely to be a close contest. Despite a slight drop in popularity, Trump continues to be the undisputed front-runner.
Compared to Ramaswamy, DeSantis, who is now in second place, is losing momentum. 54% of GOP members are of the opinion that Trump will win the nomination. If Trump is not the chosen candidate, DeSantis would take the lead with 29%, followed by Ramaswamy with 19% and Pence with 13%.
In hypothetical contests, Trump leads Biden by 5 points and Harris by a 9-point margin. In direct contests, DeSantis is on equal footing with Biden and Harris. 60% of respondents believe that neither Biden nor Trump should run for reelection.
If there is a rematch between Biden and Trump, voters from various political perspectives are receptive to the concept of a moderate independent candidate. 70% of voters agree that there should be more than simply Biden and Trump as options for the nation.
Additionally, fewer than 30% of people think that the nation is headed in the right path. Less than 50% of people still have an unfavorable opinion of the American economy and think it is strong. Since April, this attitude has mostly not changed. In addition, somewhat less than half of voters express worry about their own financial status.
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Candidates vying to lead the party will engage in a clash of beliefs during the Republican primary. Undoubtedly, significant issues like the economy, healthcare, and immigration will influence the primary. The candidate who can allay public concerns about Joe Biden’s mental acuity, though, may win a crucial advantage.
Both parties face formidable hurdles in the approaching 2024 election. The Democrats must handle questions about Biden’s mental health while adhering to their policy platform. On the other hand, the Republicans must select a candidate who can successfully bring the party together and present a compelling challenge to the incumbent.
A current assessment of the political scene is provided by the results of the Harvard Harris Poll. Remember that there is still plenty of time for public opinion to change drastically before the 2024 election.
