Former President Donald Trump has taken a slight lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in a recent national head-to-head survey conducted by Rasmussen Reports. The poll, which gauges voter sentiment in a hypothetical 2024 presidential race, shows Trump leading Harris by three percentage points.
According to Rasmussen, “Trump came out ahead 49% to 46%.” This marks a small improvement for Harris, who previously trailed Trump 45% to 49% in the poll conducted just a week earlier. When third-party candidates were included, Trump maintained his lead with 47% compared to Harris’ 45%, while independent contender Robert F. Kennedy Jr. garnered 4% of the vote, with all other candidates receiving 1% or less.
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Despite Rasmussen’s findings, which lean in favor of Trump, it’s important to note that these results are somewhat of an outlier. As reported by the New York Post, “Rasmussen’s findings are an outlier among recent national polling. The conservative-leaning firm has often been at odds with other top pollsters. In 2016, it was among the closest firms to the final result.” Meanwhile, in a broader comparison, Harris is averaging a two-point lead over Trump in the latest RealClearPolitics aggregate of national polls that include five candidates. However, when the race is narrowed down to just two candidates, Harris’ lead shrinks to a mere 1.5 percentage points.
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