In a remarkable political shift, the loyalty of Hispanic voters appears to be swinging significantly from President Joe Biden towards former President Donald Trump, drawing notable attention from the media. During a recent segment on CNN’s “CNN News Central,” hosted by John Berman, the network’s Senior Political Data Reporter Harry Enten unveiled polling data from the 2020 and 2024 elections that highlighted a drastic 20-point swing in Hispanic support from Biden to Trump. Enten, animatedly gesturing, exclaimed, “Look at this tremendous shift. Oh, my goodness gracious.”
The change is stark: where Biden previously enjoyed a 27-point lead over Trump among Hispanic voters in 2020 (59% to 32%), that margin has now contracted to just seven points (51%-44%). This dramatic turnaround has not only reshaped the political landscape but also bolstered Trump’s confidence in vying for the Hispanic vote.
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As the conversation delved deeper into the implications of these shifts, Enten pointed out the critical role of Hispanic voters in swing states like Nevada and Arizona. Hispanics constitute 19% and 17% of likely voters in these states, respectively. Current polling suggests Trump is outpacing Biden by 7 points in Nevada and 5 points in Arizona. The trends are so pronounced that even the conservative estimates may not fully capture the extent of Trump’s potential gains.
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