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Arizona Republican Lake, a 2022 contender for governor, officially filed her Senate campaign committee with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) in October, indicating that her campaign will soon get underway. Since then, she has continued to be one of the front-runners for the Republican primary nomination.
As the race for her seat heats up, Lake’s team may need to make some message and strategy changes. Though Rasmussen and the Bull Moose Project suggest that Lake has a clear advantage of 29 points in the Republican primary, polls hint to a tightly contested general election.
Lake’s results in general election contests are not consistent. In many surveys, she trails Ruben Gallego by just 3 to 4 points, but in others, Gallego leads her by 3 to 10 points. This implies that if Sinema withdraws from the election, the Democrats may have an advantage.
In the US House of Representatives, Gallego, a former US Marine, represents Arizona’s 3rd congressional district. He was a member and assistant minority leader of the Arizona House of Representatives from 2012 until his departure to seek a congressional position, giving him experience in state politics. He is a Democrat.
Gallego, who was first elected to Congress in 2014, is the representative for a district that includes sections of Glendale and much of downtown, southern, and western Phoenix. He served in the military and was sent to Iraq as a USMCR Corporal for Operation Iraqi Freedom. As the national chair of Eric Swalwell’s 2020 presidential campaign, he also had a big impact on national politics.
Since the party has mostly united behind Lake in the Senate contest, J.D. Vance (R-OH) has joined the ranks of Senate Republicans who are endorsing her. Sen. Steve Daines (R-MT), the head of the Senate Republicans’ campaign, also supported Lake earlier this month.
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Lake’s deliberate attempts to solidify his relationship with the Republican establishment have paid off handsomely. Her campaign has gathered steam and caught the interest of influential GOP strategists and funders. She had the opportunity to interact directly with senators and powerful contributors earlier this year when she attended the NRSC’s winter meeting in Palm Beach, Florida. Her campaign’s direction and concentration drew praise from many.
Even though she has previously clashed with the establishment, Lake has moderated her image and reached out to people she formerly disagreed with. Getting the NRSC support highlights Arizona’s Republican unity in an extremely competitive state that has seen a recent Democratic electoral trend.
