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CSIS data shows that the number of left-wing incidents in 2025 is already more than eight times higher than the average annual total recorded from 1995 to 2000. Back then, the yearly average was just 0.6 incidents. Until now, the record stood at eight attacks in both 2020 and 2022.
Researchers compiled their analysis using a massive dataset covering 750 terrorist attacks and plots in the U.S. between January 1, 1994, and July 4, 2025.
For the first time in 30 years, left-wing violence has overtaken right-wing attacks, the New York Post reported, citing the CSIS study.
The analysis linked the surge to partisan extremism and growing anti-government sentiment since President Trump first took office in 2016.
“All left-wing attacks through July 4, 2025, appeared to be motivated by one of these ideologies,” the study noted, pointing out that Charlie Kirk’s assassination fits the same disturbing pattern.
Investigators say the suspect in Kirk’s killing, 22-year-old Tyler Robinson, scrawled “Hey fascist, catch this” on a shell casing before murdering him on September 10.
CSIS researchers wrote that the rapid escalation in left-wing terrorism can be traced directly to opposition against the Trump administration: “As opposition to the Trump administration fuels attacks against both its political leadership and the state institutions that carry out its agenda.”
Immigration policy also appears to be a key trigger. President Trump blamed the Dallas ICE shooting on “radical left Democrats” for using dangerous language that, in his view, encourages extremist violence.
While the study cautioned that “leaders are not responsible for extremists in their midst,” it added, “they are responsible for how they behave towards extremism.”
But calls for both sides to condemn political violence have largely fallen on deaf ears. Democrats have repeatedly smeared Republicans with labels like “Nazis,” “fascists,” and “threats to democracy” — language critics say only worsens tensions.
After anti-ICE gunman Joshua Jahn shot three detainees before killing himself in Dallas, the FBI found notes in his home accusing ICE agents of “human trafficking.”
Some Democrats have echoed those same accusations. Rep. Maxwell Frost (D-Fla.) claimed ICE was “kidnapping people” and engaging in “human trafficking.” Even after the White House privately urged party leaders to tone it down, the attacks on ICE continued.
California Gov. Gavin Newsom recently described ICE as a “private domestic army” pushing the Trump administration’s “authoritarian tendencies.”
Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz called ICE a “modern-day Gestapo,” while Rep. Rashida Tlaib (D-Mich.) described Trump’s crime crackdown in Washington, D.C., as a “fascist takeover.”
And during the 2024 campaign, then–Vice President Kamala Harris even labeled Trump a “fascist” when asked about him on the campaign trail.